Admissions strategy
Applying early can meaningfully move your odds — but how much, and for whom? Here’s what drives the early bump, and how to model your ED-vs-Regular difference across your whole list.
Relative effect in our acceptance model — set the round per school on your list to see it applied. These are modeled adjustments, not published per-school ED admit rates.
| Round | Effect on odds | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Early Decision (ED) | Largest lift | Binding — you commit to enroll if admitted. The strongest signal of intent, and the biggest help to a school's yield. |
| Early Decision II (ED2) | Large lift | Also binding, with a later (January) deadline — a second binding shot. |
| Restrictive Early Action (REA) | Modest lift | Non-binding but restricts other early applications; signals strong interest. |
| Early Action (EA) | Small lift | Non-binding; apply early, hear early, no commitment. |
| Regular Decision (RD) | Baseline | The standard round — our reference point. |
The clearest published signal of the ED advantage isn’t an admit rate — it’s how much of the incoming class a school locks in through binding Early Decision. When ED fills half the seats, the Regular round competes for what’s left. Each figure below is from the school’s own official page (class year varies).
| School | Share of class via ED | Class | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University | 59% | Class of 2029 | Official page ↗ |
| Barnard College | 56% | Class of 2028 | Official page ↗ |
| Colgate University | 53% | Class of 2030 | Official page ↗ |
| University of Pennsylvania | 51% | Class of 2029 | Official page ↗ |
| Wake Forest University | “just over half” | recent classes | Official page ↗ |
A verified sample — many schools don’t publish this figure, so we only list ones we could confirm on an official source. A large ED share reflects both the binding-round advantage and a stronger early pool; it isn’t a promised boost for any one applicant.
We model the early-round effect from each school’s base rate and your profile; we don’t publish per-school ED-vs-RD admit rates (those come from each school’s Common Data Set). Estimates, not guarantees.
These outputs are estimates from a baseline model — not guarantees of admission, cost, or outcome.